The short-term outlooks for equipment manufacturing and the agriculture and construction customers they serve remain somewhat uncertain due to the recent election and other factors. However, growth could be on the horizon, according to data presented at AEM’s Q4 Equipment Market Outlook Webinar.
While there is some uncertainty in the air as a recent U.S. election, there are bright points appearing for both the ag and construction markets. Today's world construction market is characterized by easing inflation and declining interesst rates, allowing for construction growth to start picking up again.
On the ag side, rising inventory levels and weakened demand are turning up the pressure for equipment manufacturers. However, this may ease in the near future as the average fleet age nears maturity.
With all that being said, here are some additional takeaways from AEM’s final Equipment Market Update Webinar of the year, which featured expert perspectives from AEM’s Al Melhim, senior director of business intelligence, and Tom Hogood, economist, construction at GlobalData:
Ag
- The U.S. ag equipment market is in recessionary mode, seeing slower sales, rising inventory levels, uncertain outlook, and reduction in capital investment and employment.
- The used equipment market is showing cracks, new equipment year-to-date sales have dropped in 2024, and inventories are sitting at uncomfortably high levels.
- The U.S. farm economy is most likely headed for another year of weak returns, as supply surpasses demand.
- Pent up demand could increase sales in 2025 as interest rates drop.
- Due to the cyclical nature of equipment sales, and as the average fleet age matures, equipment sales are expected to increase in the next one to three years.
Construction
- Construction growth is expected as a result of slowing inflation across the world construction market, and as interest rates begin to decline.
- The energy and utility sector and the infrastructure sectors are key drivers of growth across the global industry, stemming from growing net-zero goals and government investment, while the residential sector is slightly lagging.
- The future is somewhat uncertain as a result of the recent election, but most experts are expecting a focus on deregulation, promoting construction activity and enabling infrastructure growth.
- While the ag industry is expected to head into another difficult year, especially as the farm economy continues to struggle, pent up demand may spur sales in the next year or two. On the construction side, it appears that construction growth is on the horizon, as the market becomes increasingly favorable due to decreased interest rates and deregulation.
Learn More
In addition to its quarterly Equipment Market Update Webinars, AEM continues to offer a wide range of other market data products. For more information, contact your Account Success Advisor.
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